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Psychical Research Monograph Volume 1 pdf

Psychical Research Monograph Volume 1 pdf

Psychical Research Monograph Volume 1 by Stanford University

Psychical Research Monograph Volume 1
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Author: Stanford University
Number of Pages: 246 pages
Published Date: 01 Mar 2012
Publisher: Rarebooksclub.com
Publication Country: Miami Fl, United States
Language: English
ISBN: 9781130012774
File size: 17 Mb
File Name: Psychical.Research.Monograph.Volume.1.pdf
Download Link: Psychical Research Monograph Volume 1
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This historic book may have numerous typos and missing text. Purchasers can download a free scanned copy of the original book (without typos) from the publisher. Not indexed. Not illustrated. 1917 Excerpt: ... closely. If we have 100 sets of 50 throws we may expect about 11 or 12 sets to yield 25 heads, about 10 or 11 to yield 24 or 26 heads, about 9 or 10 to yield 23 or 27 heads, about 4 to yield 20 or 30 heads, none to yield 10 or 40, or 0 or 50 heads. If we had 100,000 sets, we could expect about one set to yield 10, and another set to yield 40, heads. If we had 1,000,000,000,000,000 sets, we should not be surprised to find one set with 0 heads, or another with 50 heads, or both. In other words, we expect the events of varying probability to occur in their proper ratio. Whether any given number of heads in a set of 50 throws is a highly improbable event consequently depends upon the number of sets to be examined. The same reasoning applies to R guesses; for example, on cards drawn from a shuffled pack of 40. The probability of a single occurrence (p =.025) is much less than in the case of the coin-tossing ( =.5), and the probability of the various numbers of R cases in a set of 50 guesses, is much different: R Guesses P 0.282 1.362 2 227 3.093 4.028 5 007 6.001 7.000,2 8.000,03 9.000,003 10.000,000,4 19.000,000,000,000,000,05 If 100 sets of 50 guesses are examined, we should expect to find only about one set in which there are 5 R cases, and would not be surprised to find 6 R cases, which should occur about % as often as 5 R cases. We could even look upon 7 R cases as a chance event. But 8 or more R cases would be regarded as evidence of an extra-chance cause. If we had 100,000 sets we could expect about 3 sets giving 8 R guesses, and probably one giving 9 R guesses. If we had 1,000,000,000,000,000 sets we might reasonably expect a set or two giving 18 R guesses, but we would not expect any giving 19 R guesses. Thus, here too, one expects the events which hav...

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